Category Archives: Statistics

Can we do it? Assessing Derby County’s chances of promotion

Last week’s victory over QPR has cemented Derby County into the play-off places for the forseeable future and, following on from the similarly gritty 1-0 win against Brighton, confirmed our status as real promotion contenders who can mix it with … Continue reading

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Fear and trembling on the penalty spot

There has been very little to complain about in the Steve McClaren era, but the Derby County head coach will be very concerned about our recent penalty kick record.  The misses, apparently a hangover from the latter days of Nigel … Continue reading

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Stats time – can Derby County make the play-offs this season?

Despite our majestic progress through the months of November and December, we were never going to get through the rest of the season without experiencing a few disappointing results.  Nevertheless, Steve McClaren’s outstanding start to life at the iPro Stadium … Continue reading

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Regime change – is the Mac the Messiah, or is the ‘improvement’ an illusion?

A chapter in the excellent football analytics book The Numbers Game, by Chris Anderson and David Sally, looks at the effects that replacing the manager does – and doesn’t – have. In Simon Kuper and Dr Stefan Szymanski’s Why England Lose (AKA Soccernomics), we … Continue reading

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Points per Game breakdown – the season so far, compared to 2012/3

Over the summer, I produced the following graph, which looked at Derby’s points per game in the 2012/3 Championship, broken down by where the opponent finished in the league table: – I think the graph demonstrates very clearly why we … Continue reading

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